October 13, 2006

IRAQ IIO

Posted at 5:34 pm on Friday the 13th
Filed under: Iraq

Summary here and here.


Chaos as a budgeted norm.

Violence in Iraq forces the interior ministry to budget a loss of 25 police officers each day to death or permanent injury, a US security advisor said.

“We budgeted for 10 Iraqi policemen killed every day and 15 wounded in action to the point where they had to be retired from action” in 2006, Gerald Burke, National Security Advisor to the Iraqi Ministry of Interior said.

Burke described the appalling conditions facing police whom he helped train, to a meeting of the Democratic Policy Committee, which includes Democratic legislators.

He blamed much of the current bloodshed on the US government’s “failure to recognize the importance of security in the immediate post-conflict environment, in particular our failure to support the rule of law.”

[snip]

“One of the unfortunate side effects of the militarization of the police training mission was that the soldiers and Marines trained best at what they knew best: military skills and tactics,” he said.

“Issues such as the rule of law, human rights and treatment of suspects and prisoners, the concept of probable cause under Iraqi law and policing in a democracy received less emphasis.”

The training process was appallingly short and completely inadequate, said Stephen Pierson, a police officer who volunteered for military service so he could help train Iraqi police.

Unlike US police officers who receive six months of intensive training, Iraqi police were allotted one week. Because they were working in an open-air stadium, classes could not be taught in the afternoon and the fifth day of class was designated as a graduation ceremony.

“This in effect left only 16 hours of class time to teach up to 200 students, using an interpreter,” Pierson said. Article


Attention Congress: Please take note of what has been highlighted in bold below.

The headquarters project, in the ethnically divided and volatile northern city of Mosul, is the second police-related contract to face harsh criticism recently. Two weeks ago, the same oversight agency told Congress of grotesque plumbing failures and other problems at a $72 million police college in Baghdad.

[snip]

But the Mosul police headquarters project, a $988,000 contract that was much smaller and presumably simpler than the earlier one, suffered some of the same troubles, according to a report released yesterday by the agency, the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction.

Brian M. Flynn, the assistant inspector general for inspections at the oversight agency, said there had been no plans to look into the headquarters, called One West, until an inspection team happened to be in Mosul and was approached by the Iraqi police.

The police “were so upset with the quality of construction that they asked us to inspect it while we were there,” Mr. Flynn said.

Problems with the construction were not hard to find, the agency’s report said. One part of the contract called for the construction of 10 showers, 12 toilets, 10 urinals, 10 sinks and a changing room at One West. Instead, just one shower and one toilet had been built, and there was no changing room. A tree in the spot where the construction took place was allowed to remain standing, and its trunk was cemented into the building’s structure.

Numerous other plumbing and construction shortcomings turned up, an electrical generator was delivered but not installed and instead of installing fans in the guard houses, as called for in the contract, workers installed extra windows, leaving the guards exposed in a city where police stations have frequently been attacked.

[snip]

“The issue is oversight,” Mr. Bowen said. “Our experience is that where there is good oversight there are good projects.” Article


Dance, Dannatt, dance.


This has been mentioned before but, especially in an urban environment, what the result of the breakdown of civil infrastructure necessarily leads to is self-evident. Lots of good info in thius piece aside from the snippet.

Sabah al-Atia sometimes calls home every 10 minutes when he is working to let his wife know he is still alive. After all, his job is one of the most dangerous in the city.

Scavengers recently picked through trash collected in Sadr City and other sections of Baghdad and unloaded at a dump in Baladiyat, in the east.

Mr. Atia is a trash collector.

In a city where a bomb could be lurking beneath any heap of refuse, and where insurgents are willing to kill to prevent them from being discovered, an occupation that pays only a few dollars a day has become one of the deadliest. Most of the 500 municipal workers who have been killed here since 2005 have been trash collectors, said Naeem al-Kaabi, the city’s deputy mayor. Article


Living in and governing from Unrealistan: Mr. Bush, tear down that gall.

…why are the number of Iraqi deaths so difficult to pin down? The short answer is that much of the country is too dangerous for researchers or government officials to travel in search of accurate statistics. The best tally would come from counting every death certificate issued in the country in the three years before and three years since the invasion. But there is no central reporting mechanism for this in the country.

So instead, the researchers, backed up by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, relied on the same polling methodology that is used to measure voter preferences or what their favorite TV shows are.

“I loved when President Bush said ‘their methodology has been pretty well discredited,’ ” says Richard Garfield, a public health professor at Columbia University who works closely with a number of the authors of the report. “That’s exactly wrong. There is no discrediting of this methodology. I don’t think there’s anyone who’s been involved in mortality research who thinks there’s a better way to do it in unsecured areas. I have never heard of any argument in this field that says there’s a better way to do it.”

Gilbert Burnham, lead author of the paper and a public health professor at Johns Hopkins, adds, “There are several ways of counting, one is simply counting the number of bodies that come to the morgue or reports from hospitals or in newspapers. The problem is those numbers may be valid from the site they’re collected from but from nowhere else. So if you want to look at numbers that affect population as a whole, the best way is to do surveys.”

[snip]

Dr. Burnham says he and his collaborators were acutely aware of the possibility of large errors if their study wasn’t well designed. “The possibility of introducing bias in any kind of survey is real, and you spend more time designing the survey to eliminate the sources of bias then actually carrying it out,'’ he says. “One of the real risks in this is that people report deaths that don’t occur, so we did ask for death certificates. And in 92 percent of cases, they were provided.”

[snip]

Some critics of the report have charged that the research was politically motivated and that its release was timed to come shortly before upcoming US elections. Dr. Burnham says his “goal was to get this out in July or August, just so people wouldn’t say this was tied somehow to elections” but that peer review and other administrative issues slowed up publication.

Dr. Garfield says that critics who charge the release of the paper was politically motivated to “assign to scientists far more conspiratorial ability than we can produce. When would have been a good time to release this? People who don’t want to hear this won’t ever want to hear it. Even if it came out six months ago, it would still be an inconvenient truth.”

He says the most striking result of the survey, to him, is its finding that 2.5 percent of Iraq’s population has died as a result of the war. “You can compare that to the civil war, our bloodiest war, in which 1.4 percent of our people died and look at what that meant to the US. Like then, what these numbers are saying is that every family is being touched.” Article

AFGHANISTAN

Posted at 5:31 pm on Friday the 13th
Filed under: Afghanistan, Pakistan

Of tribes, factions, and a strategy of cold non-war.

“The news is bad,” said one Senate staffer following the issue, citing recent media reports that the U.S. military had seen a trebling of attacks on the Afghan side of the border.

“It is clear that the Taliban is not negotiating (with Pakistani authorities) to end the conflict, but to increase their leverage in the conflict,” Husain Haqqani, director of the Center for International Relations at Boston University, told United Press International.

Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf insists that his deal, inked Sept. 5 between government officials and local figures described as tribal elders, mujahedin, students and Islamic scholars, is not with the Taliban, but it has been endorsed by Taliban military commanders in TV interviews.

Citing reports about the hasty closure of a Taliban office opened soon after the deal in Miran Shah, the capital of North Waziristan, Congressional Research Service analyst Alan Kronstadt told UPI that the Pakistani government had “a sensitivity to any signs that the Taliban are openly running an administrative infrastructure” there.

[snip]

Some experts fear that U.S. policy in the region — blinded by a total reliance on Musharraf and hamstrung by commitments of resources and attention elsewhere — risks allowing the creation of a sanctuary where Islamic militants, perhaps including the senior leadership of al-Qaida, can use the fast-approaching winter months to re-group, and plan and train for new attacks, not just in Afghanistan, but in the United States or Europe too.

Afghan officials last week told reporters in Kabul that many of the 17 would-be suicide bombers they had recently apprehended had been trained in a camp near Data Khel in North Waziristan. Article

WHAT HAVE WE BECOME

Posted at 5:31 pm on Friday the 13th
Filed under: America

The Pentagon’s TALON program, continuing to label, surveil, track, and equate dissent with terrorism.

The Pentagon kept tabs on nonviolent protesters of the Iraq war…by collecting information and storing it in a military antiterrorism database, according to documents released today by the American Civil Liberties Union. Article

But that’s a “mistake” and ‘won’t happen again’ says the Pentagon:

A South Florida anti-war group’s peaceful protest of military recruitment during last year’s Fort Lauderdale Air & Sea Show was labeled “subversive” and was being monitored by the Pentagon, which kept a report on the protest in a database designed to track domestic terrorist threats.

That report in the Defense Department’s Threat and Local Observation Notice database, or TALON, was a mistake, a Defense spokesman said Thursday. And the circumstances that led to the surveillance of the Broward Anti-War Coalition — along with other groups nationwide — have already been corrected, said Maj. Patrick Ryder, spokesman for the office of the assistant secretary of defense.

[snip]

In December 2005, when NBC News first reported on the TALON database, “We put oversight steps into place that will prevent these kind of mistakes from happening again,” Ryder said.

He said reports that are not relevant to terrorism have been removed from the database [note: not ‘excised, deleted or erased’ and not a denial that the data were placed in a different database — voxd] and that government “personnel received immediate refresher training concerning the laws, policies and procedures that govern collection.” Article


Rummy: We’re never, ever wrong. Even when we are.

TECH TOPICS

Posted at 5:30 pm on Friday the 13th
Filed under: General

Vonage or Skype user? FYI:

Whilst listening in on normal telephone calls over landlines or mobile phone networks has become a routine procedure, Voice over IP connections frequently present a problem for investigators, especially when the persons being monitored use Skype via foreign servers or call direct from PC to PC and encrypt their data. The Swiss Department of the Environment, Transport, Energy and Communications (UVEK) is therefore examining the use of spy software to allow it to listen in on conversations on PCs.

The software comes from Swiss security company ERA IT Solutions, which intends to supply it solely to investigation agencies. This should also prevent antivirus manufacturers from incorporating it into their databases and having their tools recognise it. According to the manufacturer, firewalls do not present a problem.

Installation of the software wiretap is to be carried out on the instructions of a judge only. The ISPs of the persons under investigation will then slip the program onto their computers. The program will save overheard conversations and send them to a server in small, inconspicuous packets. If the computer is turned off before all the data has been transmitted, the program will continue transmission when it is restarted. Article

NOTED IN PASSING

Posted at 5:30 pm on Friday the 13th

The problem with the radios of the A-10 Warthogs is real enough. Out of a half-rillion dollar budget, they can’t find $60 million (about one-hundredth of one per cent)? Here’s a thought: make the sacrifie of mothballing some golf courses, swimming pools, saunas, white linen establishments and the like at showcase forts and bases for the duration.


Congratulations, Mr. Ban.

SCIENCE BEAT

Posted at 5:29 pm on Friday the 13th
Filed under: Science

SNIFFING NUKES

Basics of how it is done.

The most definitive signature of a nuclear explosion is the presence of radionuclides, a collective term for the radioactive isotopes produced by a nuclear reaction. While “fallout” was most obvious when early tests were conducted above-ground, underground and underwater tests also tend to leak radiation into the atmosphere. The detection process, which looks for key indicators like the ratio of different xenon isotopes, takes several days and can’t pinpoint the exact origin of the blast. But once a signal is detected, there’s no doubt a nuclear explosion has taken place. Article


SPEAK INTO THE MACHINE

Even with all the hardware advances, one can’t help but recall the story about an early attempt at machine translation rendering the phrase “Out of sight, out of mind” as “Invisible Idiot” and hope against hope that the software is recognized and employed primarily as an adjunct rather than as a tool to be relied on in less than optimal circumstances or as an infallible substitute for direct human-to-human conversational nuance.

OVERNIGHT ROUND-UP

Posted at 6:51 am on Friday the 13th

IRAQ IIO

Was somewhat chary about posting anything about this earlier, as it is still single-sourced (and a less than usual venue for such a disclosure). But it should not be ignored nor dismissed outright due to that either. With that caveat in mind:

A commission formed to assess the Iraq war and recommend a new course has ruled out the prospect of victory for America, according to draft policy options shared with The New York Sun by commission officials.

Currently, the 10-member commission — headed by a secretary of state for President George H.W. Bush, James Baker — is considering two option papers, “Stability First” and “Redeploy and Contain,” both of which rule out any prospect of making Iraq a stable democracy in the near term.

[snip]

…The more palatable of the two choices for the White House, “Stability First,” argues that the military should focus on stabilizing Baghdad while the American Embassy should work toward political accommodation with insurgents. The goal of nurturing a democracy in Iraq is dropped.…

[snip]

…The “Redeploy and Contain” option calls for the phased withdrawal of American soldiers from Iraq, though the working groups have yet to say when and where those troops will go.… [*cough* John Murtha *cough* — voxd]

[snip]

…the president’s strategic goal is at odds with the opinion of Mr. Baker’s expert working groups, which dismiss the notion of victory in Iraq. The “Stability First” paper says, “The United States should aim for stability particularly in Baghdad and political accommodation in Iraq rather than victory.”

[snip]

Because of the politically explosive topic of the Baker commission, the panel has agreed not to release its findings until after the November 7 elections.… Article


A revelation that will undoubtedly be buried almost immediately in the West, but will have ‘legs’ as a story in the mideast for quite some time.

In the program Blunkett is asked whether he considered Al Jazeera a civilian target. He replied:

“Well, I don’t think that there are targets in a war that you can rule out because you don’t actually have military personnel inside them if they are attempting to win a propaganda battle on behalf of your enemy.”

Just two weeks after the home secretary urged the attack on Al Jazeera the Americans bombed the company’s offices in Baghdad, killing journalist Tareq Ayoub. Article


THINGS THE ELEPHANT WOULD RATHER FORGET

Though a small snafu in the grand scheme of things (though also a telling indication of how the GOP labels and compartmentalizes people), maybe – since those affected are presumably political donors of import – a lesson on the ease with which private data can be breached or disseminated from computer databases will hit home.

In a breach of privacy, the Republican National Committee erroneously e-mailed a list that contained the names, races, and Social Security numbers of dozens of top Republican donors — and that identified two of the contributors as Muslim….

In the course of preparing for a Washington fund-raiser on Friday headlined by President Bush, an RNC staffer, Dee Dee Lancaster, intended to e-mail a security list of confirmed guests to other event planners and the Secret Service.…

The RNC confirmed the slip-up, which raised questions about how the committee handles sensitive personal information and what records it keeps of its supporters.The e-mail was sent to four other addresses, including one with the Secret Service.

The attached spreadsheet of 76 guests included category headings with Social Security numbers, dates of birth, and “race.” The race of all but three were listed as “Caucasian.” One was identified as “Asian,” and the race of two others, Malik and Seeme Hasan, was listed as “Muslim.”

[snip]

As for the listing of Muslim as a race, the RNC took the blame. “This was an error on the part of a staffer here at the RNC, and it was unfortunate,” a committee spokeswoman, Tracey Schmitt, said. She called the error “regrettable,” but she did not say whether the RNC keeps religious data on its supporters.

Mr. Zahren said the Secret Service “did not request that, and we would not request that.”

The e-mailing of sensitive personal information comes weeks after the executive director of the Democratic National Committee, Tom McMahon, sent a letter to the RNC’s chief of staff, Kelley McCullough, alerting her to security flaws in the GOP.com Web site. Article


Speaking of Republicans and e-mails

A state lawmaker who wants to reinstate a 1950s federal deportation program known as “Operation Wetback” is under fire again for sending supporters information from a white separatist group.

Republican Rep. Russell Pearce has apologized for e-mailing the article from the West Virginia-based National Alliance. But that hasn’t stopped criticism from all directions, including state GOP leaders. Article


FUNGIBLE PROLES

Lower prices respect for labor, every day.

A state jury found Thursday that Wal-Mart broke Pennsylvania labor laws by forcing employees to work through rest breaks and off the clock, a decision plaintiffs’ lawyers said would result in at least $62 million in damages.

[snip]

The Bentonville, Ark.-based retail giant is facing a slew of similar suits around the country.

Wal-Mart settled a Colorado case for $50 million and is appealing a $172 million award handed down last year by a California jury. Article


SCIENCE BEAT

BEGETTING BOYS

Cats, rats, and pregnant women, oh my.


LIGHTER FARE

YOU CAN TAKE THE SIMIAN OUT OF THE CITY

Ook, ook.

(Translation: Damn those ‘activist judges.’)



GLOSSARY
IIO = Illegal Invasion and Occupation
Congress CX = 110th Congress
SNABU = Situation Negative, All Bushed Up


And So It Goes is a reincarnation and continuation of the late Vox Digitatus blog (2004 - 2006).


re: the phrase And So It Goes — A tip o' the ol' topper to Kurt Vonnegut, Lloyd Dobyns and Linda Ellerbee.

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