Pakistan summary here and here. Also this.
Dozens of paramilitary troops and police surrendered their weapons to militants and retreated from the mountain town of Kalam in the Swat Valley — dubbed Pakistan’s Switzerland — early Wednesday, a police official said.
Announcements about the advance were made on a pirate FM radio station run by cleric Mullah Fazlullah, as militants hoisted their party flag on police stations and government buildings, and distributed sweets.
[snip]
Before taking Kalam, which lies at the end of the valley, they captured the town of Bahrain, a strategic town poised over the raging Swat river, having seized the town of Madyan later Tuesday, officials and residents said.
“There was no fighting, police had already vacated their post in Bahrain, and later retreated to Kalam when they came to know the militants were heading towards their police station,” the police official said.
But Fazlullah’s aide, Maulana Shah Dauran, said in a radio address that militants also took control of a paramilitary base in Kalam manned by a platoon.
[snip]
There was no comment from the administration in Mingora, the main town in Swat valley, and top officials in Peshawar, the capital of North West Frontier Province.
An official privately admitted the militants were in control of around 70 percent of the valley’s 94-kilometre (60-mile) stretch from Sangota to Kalam.
The government hold was confined to Mingora and the nearby town of Saidu Sharif, which has the valley’s lone airport, the official said. Article
#1: quick takes, all from the same web page.
Pakistani authorities cut mobile phones in the capital Islamabad on Tuesday as the country’s sacked chief justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry addressed a meeting of lawyers by telephone, witnesses and officials said. Justice Chaudhry, who was ousted by President Pervez Musharraf on Saturday after the declaration of a state of emergency, urged lawyers to hold protests in a speech also broadcast on private television. After a few minutes the line that the judge was speaking over was cut and mobile phones in the capital went dead, AFP correspondents and witnesses said. “I want lawyers to spread my message: the time for sacrifice has come and to stand up for the constitution,” he said in his speech. The sound of cheering could be heard in the background. “Tell people about this illegal and unconstitutional emergency.” “The ruling junta was afraid that the court would rule against them but people are aware that the Supreme Court has always held the constitution above all else and provided justice to the people,” justice Chaudhry added. A telecommunications official said the shutdown was temporary. “The government has closed the mobile service in some sectors (of Islamabad) and they have said it was just a temporary measure,” the official said on condition of anonymity.
[snip]
Pakistan’s Cabinet on Tuesday discussed possibly delaying crucial parliamentary elections by up to three months after President Pervez Musharraf declared a state of emergency, a minister said. “The issue of holding elections was discussed at length, and after attending the Cabinet meeting chaired by Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz, I feel that the elections may be delayed by two months,” the minister told The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. “There will not be a delay of elections for longer than three months.” “There is no final decision,” he said. A government spokesman did not immediately respond to calls seeking comment about Tuesday’s meeting. Former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto said the government had already decided to delay the elections by at least a year. “They have postponed the election for one or two years. But they have not announced it as such. I know this from the inside,” she told AP. She did not provide details of the source of her information and challenged President Musharraf to prove her wrong by going on television to tell the country that the elections would go ahead as planned.
[snip]
Militants seized the town of Madyan in the scenic Swat valley in northwest Pakistan Tuesday and hoisted their flags over buildings after security forces surrendered, police and residents said. Madyan was the third to come under the effective control of followers of cleric Maulana Fazlullah. “They seized Madyan town today, they have already overrun Matta and Khawazakhela towns” in their earlier push, a police official told AFP on condition of anonymity. “The militants are continuing their advance,” the police official said. Residents said the militants were in complete control of Madyan and were patrolling the town. At least 37 police and paramilitary soldiers left the main police station after militants surrounded the town and assured them that they would not be harmed, residents said. Police also retreated from two more police posts in nearby villages.
[snip]
Four more supreme court judges belonging to Sindh, N.W.F.P and Balochistan were administered oath of office Tuesday morning , Ptv reported. They are: Mr Justice Mossa K. Laghari (Sindh), Mr justice Ejazul Hasan and Mr Justice Qaim Jan (NWFP), and Mr Justice Ejaz Yusuf (Balochistan). Chief Justice Abdul Hameed Dogar administerd the oath. The induction of these four new judges brings the total strength of supreme court judges to eight. Source
#2 — op-ed du jour:
Desperate to hold onto power, Pervez Musharraf has discarded Pakistan’s constitutional framework and declared a state of emergency.
To stifle the independent judiciary and free media. Artfully, though shamelessly, he has tried to sell this action as an effort to bring about stability and help fight the war on terror more effectively. Nothing could be further from the truth. If Pakistan’s history is any indicator, his decision to impose martial law may prove to be the proverbial straw that breaks the camel’s back.
[snip]
There is widespread public resentment in response to these moves. Rather than taking responsibility for the deteriorating security situation (as evidenced by regular suicide bomb attacks) and the increasing Talibanization of the tribal areas, Musharraf has tried to blame the judiciary and media. To be sure, in some cases, judicial activism was obvious (though within the realm of constitutional law) and the media also made mistakes; but by no stretch of the imagination can these be linked to religious extremism or support for militancy.
It is unlikely that Musharraf’s latest gambit will succeed, as his popular support is at its lowest ebb. Pakistan’s armed forces — repeated targets of suicide bombers — have become demoralized. It is difficult to imagine them standing with Musharraf should civil conflict erupt. Nor can a weak, embattled and disoriented Musharraf be expected to fight Islamic militancy effectively or bring political stability to Pakistan.
Opposition political parties are drawing closer together and former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto, despite progress in her power-sharing negotiations with Musharraf, has strongly condemned his actions. Human rights bodies, media associations and lawyers’ organizations are expected to defy the emergency, which will pit them against the security forces.
Terrorists may also benefit by attacking a preoccupied army and political forces aligned with Musharraf. In the event of sustained protests and potential violence, top military commanders may decide to send Musharraf home — a decision that would not be unprecedented in Pakistan’s chronically turbulent history. Article
#3:
1) It is from a government mouthpiece outlet.
2) In light of events on the ground, it is couching obvious evidence in pure fiction. It is 100% crapola.
3) It is amazing that anyone could hear him, what with all those pigs and donkeys that must have been flying by.
Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz said Monday that the government is not disposed to put curbs on media in the country.
[snip]
…The imposition of any censorship on media is not under consideration…. Article
#4:
Condemning the proclamation of emergency in Pakistan, Commonwealth Human Rights Initiative has sought the suspension of the Islamic Republic from the Councils of Commonwealth for violating democratic principles.
“CHRI calls on the Commonwealth to immediately condemn these actions and suspend Pakistan from the Councils of the Commonwealth, while the Commonwealth continues to engage with and support civil society working towards an early return to democracy,” the NGO said in a statement.
It said: “The Commonwealth Human Rights Initiative strongly condemns the proclamation of the state of emergency in Pakistan by chief of army staff General Pervez Musharraf.
[snip]
“These actions run entirely contrary to the fundamental democratic principles of the Commonwealth. As a member, Pakistan is bound to comply with such principles,” it said. Article
#5:
Considering the signals and rumors that have swirled for months, including a particularly intense day in August, it would seem that both the Pakistani government and the political opposition have had time to anticipate and prepare for the emergency-rule decree issued on Saturday by Gen. Pervez Musharraf, the president of the country.
On the government’s side, that has meant tightening its grip over many aspects of Pakistani society, including one emerging tool for opposition groups the world over: the Internet.
[snip]
This past weekend, Pakistanis found that they had been blocked from accessing many non-official news and opposition sites, but one major Pakistani news site has found a way around the ban, even after authorities reportedly ransacked its offices in Islamabad.
Geo TV, which broadcasts from Dubai, has created a live audio stream of their Urdu-language channel that many Pakistani blogs and Western news sources are using to keep track of the situation throughout Pakistan. It can be heard on satellite radio and through broadband Internet connections.
Another leading blogger in Pakistani had a backup plan as well.… Article
Related: a mediacentric overview.
…in a largely rural country with one of the lowest literacy rates in the world, print media has never been mass media. Newspapers sell mostly in urban centers, while in rural areas radio, and to a lesser extent state-run television (broadcast over a terrestrial network), are the main sources of news and information. With the Internet still available only to 3 percent of Pakistanis, the influence of online journalism is negligible. Until Musharraf came to power, there was no private satellite television in Pakistan. But now cable lines, carrying satellite television signals, are slowly creeping into even the most remote villages. A young documentary producer at Dawn News, the country’s first twenty-four-hour, English-language news channel, explained the significance of this: “They don’t really have schools in interior Sindh,” he said, referring to the most impoverished state in the country. “But now they have cable lines. So guess what? Now we’re the ones educating all of them.” Article
#6:
Despite billions of dollars in U.S. military payments to Pakistan over the last six years, the paramilitary force leading the pursuit of Al Qaeda militants remains underfunded, poorly trained and overwhelmingly outgunned, U.S. military and intelligence officials said.
Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf cited the rising militant threat in declaring a state of emergency on Saturday and suspending the constitution.
But rather than use the more than $7 billion in U.S. military aid to bolster its counter-terrorism capabilities, Pakistan has spent the bulk of it on heavy arms, aircraft and equipment that U.S. officials say are far more suited for conventional warfare with India, its regional rival.
That has left fighters with the paramilitary force, known as the Frontier Corps, equipped often with little more than “sandals and bolt-action rifles,” said a senior Western military official in Islamabad, even as they face Al Qaeda and Taliban fighters equipped with assault rifles and grenade launchers.
The arms imbalance has contributed to Al Qaeda’s ability to regroup in the border region, and reflects the competing priorities that were evident even before this weekend between two countries that are self-described allies in the “war on terrorism” but have sharply divergent national security interests.
[snip]
Plans to build up the Frontier Corps are not universally supported by U.S. military officials. Loyalties within the corps are thought by many observers to be divided. Members are recruited mainly from Pashtun tribes with long-standing mistrust of outsiders. Most reject militant ideology, and have suffered hundreds of casualties in the fighting. But many also are devoutly religious and feel some degree of sympathy for the Islamists’ cause.
“There is a push-back among some that the Frontier Corps is not a reliable ally of the United States,” said Seth Jones, a military expert at Rand Corp. “The concern is that you give them additional training and equipment, and they could end up helping militants rather than taking action against them.”
Perhaps as a hedge against those concerns, the U.S. Special Operations Command has recently begun exploring efforts to pay off tribal militias in the region that are not affiliated with the Pakistani government, and arm them to root out Al Qaeda and Taliban militants, a source familiar with the discussions said.
“You can’t buy them, but you can rent them,” said the source, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the discussions. “There is a very serious effort to look at this.”
The CIA also operates in the area, and has doubled the number of case officers based in Pakistan in recent years, former agency officials say.
[snip]
Reluctant to offend a crucial ally, the United States has placed few conditions on the military aid, part of a larger package of U.S. aid and payments totaling more than $10 billion. As a result, Pakistan used much of it to acquire big-ticket weapons systems and other items to shore up its conventional defense capabilities, U.S. officials said.
The Defense Security Cooperation Agency, which oversees U.S. weapons transfers, said that shipments to Pakistan since the Sept. 11 attacks had included some equipment that could be useful in pursuing militants in the tribal areas, including 4,000 radios and 12 refurbished attack helicopters. But even those items went to the regular army, the agency said, and are unlikely to be shared with the Frontier Corps, which falls under a separate branch of the Pakistani government.
The majority of Pakistan’s purchases have been of items that would be difficult to deploy in counterinsurgency fights, including harpoon missiles designed to sink warships, F-16 fighter jets, maritime surveillance aircraft and refurbished howitzers that have to be towed into position.
“It’s hard to make arguments that the bulk of what is being provided by the U.S. is very effective for counter-terrorism operations,” said Alan Kronstadt, a specialist in South Asian affairs at the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service. “A lot of the military assistance has been much more useful for a potential war with India.” Article
Quasi-related:
Other commentators said that after investing so much in the general, who was coerced into partnership in the war on terror in 2001, Washington had effectively tied its own hands.
‘As far as America is concerned, he is playing his cards very well - America is more or less hostage to Musharraf because he has made them believe that the war on terrorism cannot be fought without him,’ retired general and political analyst Talat Masood said. Article
#7:
Pakistan has pulled tens of thousands of troops from its border with India in a bid to quell rising violence by pro-Taliban militants in the northwest, officials said here on Wednesday.
A top Indian defence ministry official said Pakistan’s military strength along the frontier had hit an “all-time low” during the summer as soldiers were poured into North West Frontier Province bordering Afghanistan.
“Our estimates are based on tested intelligence inputs from within Pakistan and feedbacks from our watch on their frontier assets,” added an official from India’s director-general of military intelligence. Article
#8 — demonstrating the width of the spectrum of antagonism generated by and directed towards the woebegone G. Walker administration.
First, from a column by Pat Buchanan:
The crisis in Pakistan brings home the reality the Bushites have ignored in their ideological crusades. For in the Pakistan crucible we see starkly who our real enemies are, whence the true dangers come and where our vital interests lie.
Musharraf is – as were Franco, Pinochet and the Shah in the Cold War – a flawed friend and an enemy of our enemy. If he falls, any democratic successor, like Benazir Bhutto, would not likely long survive al-Qaida and the suicide bombers who already tried to kill her.
What is happening in Pakistan exposes, too, the limits of U.S. power and the failure of President Bush – because of the democratist ideology to which he converted after 9-11 – to see clearly the real dangers to his country. Our enemy was always al-Qaida. It was never Iraq. And it is not Iran, at whom the GOP candidates are all braying their bellicosity.
After 9-11, those who viewed the horror and asked, “Why do they hate us?” were hooted down as unpatriotic. We were told Muslim militants hate us because we are free, democratic and good, and they are evil.
American can no longer afford to indulge this ideological claptrap. We are hated not because of who we are, but because of what we do. Nowhere is that more true than in Pakistan. Article
Second, from a different conservative voice:
…. Musharraf just showed his benefactor from across the sea that on this matter of democracy, he is indeed two-faced. After years of assuring President Bush that they share a zeal for promoting democracy, Musharraf has discovered that the problem with democracy is that you cannot always dictate its outcome. Especially if you do not have a Supreme Court in your pocket.
[snip]
This week, Bush called on Pakistan’s general to act presidential and prove his love of democracy by restoring it so the fight against terrorism can continue. Musharraf’s counter was this is how he is fighting terrorism. In a sense it is true — Musharraf’s terror is that he’ll be tossed out by the people. That’s why he has made one bow to democracy: He let word seep that upcoming January elections will be held after all. Will there be news media then? Or a Supreme Court? And, if so, whose court will it be — Musharraf’s or the people’s?
Musharraf has now joined an ironfisted panoply of America’s Dictator-Allies: In our region there were Somoza, Trujillo, Batista; in Musharraf’s the list famously includes the shah of Iran and Saddam Hussein. Really. Recall that cozy 1983 Baghdad photo op of Saddam shaking hands with President Ronald Reagan’s grinning envoy, Donald Rumsfeld (a fellow we’ve hardly heard from since)? To understand just how desperate the situation is now for America and the world, here’s a one-question quiz: Name the only country that is a sanctuary for bin Laden and al Qaeda, Taliban leaders, thousands of Islamic radicals bent on jihad, and 30 to 50 nuclear warheads.
Yes, Pakistan. And only the last of the list is considered under secure control — and even that is a matter of great conjecture. After all, Pakistan’s military has officers who are secular hard-liners and officers who are militant Islamist hard-liners.
Bush and Vice President Cheney don’t know what, if anything, they can do about what is happening in Pakistan. But they do know that as bad as things are in Pakistan today, things may well get worse before they get better (if they ever do). Article